Weekend Summary

The clocks have gone back but the polls have marched onward. Here’s the master graph! (I’ve updated the format a little – the line has now been removed, as this misleadingly overemphasised outliers and arbitrarily gave one poll undue prominence when several were on the same day. I’ve replaced it with markers to show the … Continue reading →

A Tale Of Two Parties

In so far as there has been a “story” in terms of polling since the last election, it has largely been dominated by the precipitous decline of the Liberal Democrats, and the remarkable rise of UKIP. Within a matter of months after the General Election, the Lib Dems went from a comfortable low-20s poll figure … Continue reading →

Weekend Summary

It’s the end of a week filled with Ebola panic, market turmoil, and frankly quite a lot of depressing news. So, let’s either deepen or alleviate your gloom (depending on where you stand politically) with a look at the week’s polls. The master graph now looks like this: There’s been some further narrowing since last … Continue reading →

State of the Polls, 14th October

Let’s get started, then! Electobot has been churning away for hours (literally hours, it took about three solid days using all the cores on my home PC) simulating well over half a million General Elections. And here’s the master graph, showing all the results together. In case it’s not obvious – this graph contains the … Continue reading →

Begin At The Very Beginning

If you live in or are connected with the UK in any meaningful way, it cannot have escaped your notice that there is a General Election coming up on the horizon. In May 2015, to be exact. And the polling companies are currently having a lovely time churning out result after result telling us who … Continue reading →